There have not been many posts or comments on here from me over the past week or two - I have been busy getting married.
I see at least one repeat poster on this site has been foaming at the mouth about my lack of in-depth analysis in that period, of the rebellions in Tunisia and Egypt. I know little of Tunisia's history and political culture, but do know that in Egypt analysts have traditionally talked of the most likely alternative to the vile military dictatorship as being the Muslim Brothers. Indeed, it is the long term, incremental approach of the Muslim Brotherhood that has provided a template to other Islamist groups in the region - most noticeably the non-military aspects of Hamas, as this article indicates. In terms of base, popular support and political structure, the MB has few rivals in the country.
Egypt has also provided a disproportionately high number of Jihadis to the various Islamist struggles across the world over the past thirty years - in part because, as Al Qaeda number two Ayman Al-Zawahiri points out, the topography of the country makes it completely unsuitable for a sustained campaign of guerilla warfare. It is to be hoped for both the people of Egypt and those struggling against dictatorships across the Arab world, that such elements - both Muslim Brotherhood and the Jihadis - are kept firmly in the minority in the current revolt.
Anarchists should know better than anyone else however, that the people who initiate revolutions, and the people who do the bulk of the fighting in them, are often very different from those who end up in power afterwards . Perhaps it is appropriate to hope for positive change in Egypt, but to recognise that any change may possibly be a case of one step forward, two steps back?