This evening sees David Haye take on Nikolay Valuev for the WBA Heavyweight title.
It is a few years since I saw Haye fighting as a Crusierweight, when he beat Giacobbe Fragomeni at York Hall, to retail his European title. On that occasion Haye struggled against a smaller man, with Fragomeni taking several rounds in the middle of the fight, before the champion suddenly woke up and sprung into action.
How Haye copes against a much bigger man is the key question tonight. For many years Valuev's fights were a staple on Eurosport, and they were rarely inspiring - usually dull points wins - although he has improved as a boxer in recent times. As with many fighters based in Germany, he has also benefitted from some home town decisions (e.g. against Evander Holyfield) but his size and durability - he's never been knocked down - suggest our man will struggle.
Last night I looked on-line for odds on Valuev to win on points. Ladbrokes were only offering a very staid 7-2. Whether I put anything on it or not, that's my prediction - the Russian to win on points, possibly with Haye left bemoaning the judges.